Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 13.616045 15.852584 18.287454 21.128127 24.343910 27.863913 32.000824
2025-08-17 9.509941 12.469881 16.024226 20.572838 26.201726 32.898950 41.426111
2025-08-24 7.096362 10.248997 14.343637 19.975865 27.434525 36.876441 49.620013
2025-08-31 5.388800 8.475598 12.768126 19.047490 27.848056 39.570491 56.155163
2025-09-07 4.555451 7.704202 12.341774 19.480029 29.956042 44.490819 65.834564
2025-09-14 3.908486 7.066863 11.968538 19.865828 31.938053 49.294921 75.616759
2025-09-21 3.243456 6.267019 11.207277 19.527072 32.751187 52.416007 83.151351
2025-09-28 2.675164 5.517631 10.400488 18.980634 33.132441 54.852651 89.765872
2025-10-05 2.526162 5.483061 10.763359 20.348667 36.607401 62.160276 104.100766
2025-10-12 2.350187 5.364185 10.954434 21.426926 39.674093 69.006754 118.111124
2025-10-19 2.092050 5.037055 10.721957 21.727201 41.442372 73.877158 129.278470
2025-10-26 1.832877 4.659702 10.340932 21.705600 42.631603 77.849994 139.199009
2025-11-02 1.537879 4.170564 9.718458 21.247591 43.158448 81.004162 148.415135
2025-11-09 1.278411 3.710513 9.094696 20.730402 43.566013 84.054194 157.797422
2025-11-16 1.056741 3.287088 8.476255 20.136383 43.756039 86.717836 166.676436
2025-11-23 0.850529 2.848043 7.744875 19.202675 43.179648 87.940506 173.088724
2025-11-30 0.762246 2.704929 7.665135 19.638469 45.323038 94.224196 188.789924
2025-12-07 0.682502 2.565910 7.571456 20.027022 47.394436 100.494035 204.805230
2025-12-14 0.578080 2.323362 7.179434 19.685886 47.914517 103.851469 215.667948
2025-12-21 0.481127 2.074697 6.725582 19.135590 47.926453 106.208859 224.777660
2025-12-28 0.470778 2.116621 7.056753 20.513259 52.231341 117.232039 250.803393
2026-01-04 0.449149 2.113206 7.261628 21.599053 55.970177 127.331243 275.539518
2026-01-11 0.403499 2.008187 7.160850 21.901417 57.969329 134.036000 294.042857